No Arizona
W-L: (11-22) PR = 94.3225Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 71-77 1107 A JUSTC 87-55 1111 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 49-84 1118 A EMBRI **-79 1124 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 93-87 1126 A SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 79-72 1203 H So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 62-75 1206 H No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 68-69 1209 H Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 48-73 1213 H San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 69-78 1218 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 65-57 1218 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 65-57 1221 H Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 66-90 1229 A BNMES **-60 101 H Montana BS (18-16, 95.5) 64-78 103 H Montana St BS (18-14, 95.5) 68-77 108 H Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 65-78 110 H Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 79-81 116 H Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 69-83 117 H Portland St BS (20-11, 95.7) 52-63 119 H Montana BS (18-16, 95.5) 72-98 124 A No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 81-77 129 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 95.0) 92-86 131 H Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 62-79 205 A Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 79-73 207 H Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 53-72 212 H Portland St BS (20-11, 95.7) 68-77 214 A Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 79-74 221 H No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 77-78 226 H Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 58-78 228 H Ea Wash BS (14-18, 95.0) 57-88 302 H Montana St BS (18-14, 95.5) 65-76 307 H Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 65-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Drake 71-77 -6 -1 -1.19
1111 H Arizona 49-84 -35 -6 0.00
1124 A Cal Poly 93-87 6 -1 + 2.93
1126 A SE MO St 79-72 7 -1 + 2.50
1203 H So Dakota St 62-75 -13 0 -1.60
1206 H No Dakota St 68-69 -1 -2 0.74
1209 H Arizona St 48-73 -25 -3 0.00
1213 H San Diego 69-78 -9 -1 -1.24
1218 A So Utah 65-57 8 0 + 2.25
1218 A So Utah 65-57 8 0 + 2.25
1221 H Incarn Word 66-90 -24 0 -1.94
101 H Montana 64-78 -14 -1 -0.87
103 H Montana St 68-77 -9 -1 -0.82
108 H Weber St 65-78 -13 -1 -1.23
110 H Idaho St 79-81 -2 0 -1.67
116 H Sacra St 69-83 -14 0 -1.85
117 H Portland St 52-63 -11 -1 -0.68
119 H Montana 72-98 -26 -1 -0.87
124 A No Colorado 81-77 4 -1 + 3.26
129 A Ea Wash 92-86 6 -1 + 2.69
131 H Idaho 62-79 -17 -1 -0.85
205 A Idaho St 79-73 6 0 + 2.35
207 H Weber St 53-72 -19 -1 -1.23
212 H Portland St 68-77 -9 -1 -0.68
214 A Sacra St 79-74 5 0 + 2.17
221 H No Colorado 77-78 -1 -1 0.24
226 H Idaho 58-78 -20 -1 -0.85
228 H Ea Wash 57-88 -31 -1 -1.33
302 H Montana St 65-76 -11 -1 -0.82
307 H Idaho St 65-73 -8 0 -1.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 A Cal Poly 93-87 6 -1 + 2.93 1126 A SE MO St 79-72 7 -1 + 2.50 1218 A So Utah 65-57 8 0 + 2.25 1218 A So Utah 65-57 8 0 + 2.25 124 A No Colorado 81-77 4 -1 + 3.26 129 A Ea Wash 92-86 6 -1 + 2.69 205 A Idaho St 79-73 6 0 + 2.35 214 A Sacra St 79-74 5 0 + 2.17 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Drake (14-20, 95.1) 71-77 -4.76 2.72 -0.01 1.10 -2.62
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 49-84 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.10 -0.01
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 93-87 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.23
3 A SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 79-72 -5.08 2.39 0.01 1.10 5.29
3 H So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 62-75 -5.17 2.31 -0.01 1.10 -2.85
3 H No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 68-69 -3.82 3.65 -0.01 1.10 -2.11
3 H Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 48-73 -2.53 4.94 -0.01 1.10 -1.40
3 H San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 69-78 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.65
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 65-57 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 65-57 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 H Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 66-90 -5.51 1.97 -0.01 1.10 -3.04
3 H Montana (18-16, 95.5) 64-78 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 H Montana St (18-14, 95.5) 68-77 -4.39 3.08 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 H Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 65-78 -4.79 2.68 -0.01 1.10 -2.64
3 H Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 79-81 -5.24 2.24 -0.01 1.10 -2.89
3 H Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 69-83 -5.41 2.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.98
3 H Portland St (20-11, 95.7) 52-63 -4.25 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -2.34
3 H Montana (18-16, 95.5) 72-98 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 A No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 81-77 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.10 6.95
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 95.0) 92-86 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.10 5.70
3 H Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 62-79 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 A Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 79-73 -5.24 2.24 0.01 1.10 4.95
3 H Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 53-72 -4.79 2.68 -0.01 1.10 -2.64
3 H Portland St (20-11, 95.7) 68-77 -4.25 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -2.34
3 A Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 79-74 -5.41 2.06 0.01 1.10 4.56
3 H No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 77-78 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 1.10 -2.39
3 H Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 58-78 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 H Ea Wash (14-18, 95.0) 57-88 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.10 -2.70
3 H Montana St (18-14, 95.5) 65-76 -4.39 3.08 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 H Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 65-73 -5.24 2.24 -0.01 1.10 -2.89
------
-9.97
|
winning pts = 43.1227 losing points = -53.0967
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------